Regional probabilistic fertility forecasting by modeling between-country correlations
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Regional Probabilistic Fertility Forecasting by Modeling Between-Country Correlations.
BACKGROUND The United Nations (UN) Population Division produces probabilistic projections for the total fertility rate (TFR) using the Bayesian hierarchical model of Alkema et al. (2011), which produces predictive distributions of the TFR for individual countries. The UN is interested in publishing probabilistic projections for aggregates of countries, such as regions and trading blocs. This re...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Demographic Research
سال: 2014
ISSN: 1435-9871
DOI: 10.4054/demres.2014.30.35